Quarterly Considerations - Second Quarter 2021

By Crescent Team

MARKET EVENTS

Source: FactSet as of 6/30/21.  Global Equity represented by MSCI ACWI Gross Total Return USD Index. See disclosures for list of indices representing each asset class. Past performance does not indicate future performance and there is a possibility of a loss. — Source: FactSet as of 6/30/21. Global Equity represented by MSCI ACWI Gross Total Return USD Index. *See disclosures for list of indices representing each asset class. Past performance does not indicate future performance and there is a possibility of a loss.*

MARKET THEMES

Stimulus measures and vaccination efforts have fostered historically robust GDP growth.
Inflation, while elevated, should not ultimately threaten the global recovery.
The breadth of asset class returns ratifies the pace of economic momentum with the highest returns year-to-date sourced from areas of the markets closely aligned with reopening.

Source: FactSet, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve. See disclosures for list of indices representing each asset class. Past performance does not indicate future performance and there is a possibility of a loss. — Source: FactSet, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve. *See disclosures for list of indices representing each asset class. Past performance does not indicate future performance and there is a possibility of a loss.*

*See disclosures for list of indices representing each asset class. Past performance does not indicate future performance and there is a possibility of a loss.*

ECONOMIC REVIEW

Source: FactSet. See disclosures for list of indices representing each asset class. Past performance does not indicate future performance and there is a possibility of a loss. — Source: FactSet. *See disclosures for list of indices representing each asset class. Past performance does not indicate future performance and there is a possibility of a loss.*

FIXED INCOME MARKET UPDATE

Sources: FactSet. Past performance does not indicate future performance and there is a possibility of a loss. — Sources: FactSet. *Past performance does not indicate future performance and there is a possibility of a loss.*

EQUITY MARKET UPDATE

Source: FactSet. Past performance does not indicate future performance and there is a possibility of a loss. — Source: FactSet. *Past performance does not indicate future performance and there is a possibility of a loss.*

REAL ASSET MARKET UPDATE

THE CASE FOR DIVERSIFICATION

FINANCIALS MARKETS PERFORMANCE

*One month lag.Source:  FactSet & Morningstar as of 6/30/21. Periods greater than 1 year are annualized.  All returns are in U.S. dollar terms. — *One month lag.
Source: FactSet & Morningstar as of 6/30/21. Periods greater than 1 year are annualized. All returns are in U.S. dollar terms.

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DISCLOSURES AND DEFINITIONS

All material and information is intended for Crescent Wealth Advisory business only. Any use or public dissemination outside firm business is prohibited. Information is obtained from a variety of sources which are believed though not guaranteed to be accurate. Any forecast represents future expectations and actual returns, volatilities and correlations will differ from forecasts. Past performance does not indicate future performance. This presentation does not represent a specific investment recommendation. Please consult with your advisor, attorney and accountant, as appropriate, regarding specific advice.

When referencing asset class returns or statistics, the following indices are used to represent those asset classes, unless otherwise notes. Each index is unmanaged, and investors can not actually invest directly into an index:

TIPS: Bloomberg Barclays Global Inflation-Linked: U.S. TIPS Total Return Index Unhedged

Municipals 5-Year: Bloomberg Barclays Municipal Bond 5 Year (4-6) Total Return Index Unhedged USD

Core Bond: Bloomberg Barclays US Agg Total Return Value Unhedged USD

High Yield Municipals: Bloomberg Barclays Muni High Yield Total Return Index Value Unhedged USD

High Yield: Bloomberg Barclays US Corporate High Yield Total Return Index Value Unhedged USD

Foreign Bond: Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate ex-USD Total Return Index Value USD (50/50 blend of hedged and unhedged)

EM Debt (unhedged): J.P. Morgan GBI-EM Global Diversified Composite Unhedged USD

U.S. Large Cap: S&P 500 Total Return Index

U.S. Small Cap : Russell 2000 Total Return Index

International Developed: MSCI EAFE Net Total Return USD Index

Emerging Markets: MSCI Emerging Markets Net Total Return USD Index

World: MSCI ACWI Net Total Return USD Index

U.S. Equity REITs: FTSE Nareit Equity REITs Total Return Index USD

Commodities: Bloomberg Commodity Total Return Index

Midstream Energy: Alerian MLP Total Return Index

Hedge Funds: Hedge Fund Research HFRI Fund of Funds Composite Index

Event Driven: Hedge Fund Research HFRI Event-Driven Total Index

Relative Value: Hedge Fund Research HFRI Relative Value Fixed Income-Convertible Arbitrage Index

Equity Hedge: Hedge Fund Research HFRI Equity Hedge Total Index

Direct Fund Composite: Hedge Fund Research HFRI Fund Weighted Composite Index

Fund of Funds Composite: Hedge Fund Research HFRI Fund of Funds Composite Index

Macro: Hedge Fund Research HFRI Macro Total Index

International, 7% Emerging Markets, 5% U.S. Equity REITS, 6% MLPs

U.S.: MSCI USA Net Total Return USD Index

China: MSCI CHINA Net Total Return USD Index

Japan: MSCI Japan Net Total Return USD Index

Germany: MSCI Germany Net Total Return USD Index

India: MSCI India Net Total Return USD Index

United Kingdom: MSCI UK Net Total Return USD Index

France: MSCI France Net Total Return USD Index

Italy: MSCI Italy Net Total Return USD Index

Brazil: MSCI Brazil Net Total Return USD Index

Canada: MSCI Canada Net Total Return USD Index